Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on June 15?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 Vol.
$52,395 Vol.
15 giu 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 Vol.
$52,395 Vol.
15 giu 2026
24°C or below
$1,342 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,317 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,274 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,795 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,682 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,241 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,825 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,846 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,218 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,816 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$3,040 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$52,395Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,395Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti