Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 1?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 1?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$34,063 Vol.
$34,063 Vol.
1 mag 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$34,063 Vol.
$34,063 Vol.
1 mag 2026
13°C or below
$1,136 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,708 Vol.
No
15°C
$747 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,710 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,956 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,718 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$3,025 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,626 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,993 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,289 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$3,155 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$34,063Data di fine
1 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,063Data di fine
1 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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