Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 24 agosto?
76-77°F 46%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o meno
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 46%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o meno
$72 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$103 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$78 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$261 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$1,177 Vol.
46%
78-79°F
$165 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$201 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$118 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$46 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$40 Vol.
1%
88°F o superiore
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,371Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,371Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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