**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 24 agosto?
47°F o meno 93%
66°F o superiore 47%
58-59°F 37%
48-49°F 36%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
47°F o meno
93%
48-49°F
36%
50-51°F
36%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
19%
66°F o superiore
47%
47°F o meno 93%
66°F o superiore 47%
58-59°F 37%
48-49°F 36%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
47°F o meno
$5 Vol.
93%
48-49°F
$5 Vol.
36%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
36%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
19%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$15 Vol.
19%
66°F o superiore
$10 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$45Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti