Recent forecast runs from global models including ECMWF and GFS project overnight lows of 5–7°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 under northeasterly flow and stable high pressure, keeping radiative cooling modest with dew points near 2–4°C and light winds. This setup supports the tight market split between 8°C-or-higher and sub-zero outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical August minima average near 8°C, but recent cooler anomalies have traders weighing model consensus against potential local microclimate effects ahead of final data releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Buenos Aires il 24 agosto?
-2°C o inferiore 45%
8°C o superiore 45%
4°C 44%
6°C 44%
-2°C o inferiore
45%
-1°C
24%
0°C
26%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
26%
6°C
44%
7°C
26%
8°C o superiore
45%
-2°C o inferiore 45%
8°C o superiore 45%
4°C 44%
6°C 44%
-2°C o inferiore
45%
-1°C
24%
0°C
26%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
26%
6°C
44%
7°C
26%
8°C o superiore
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from global models including ECMWF and GFS project overnight lows of 5–7°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 under northeasterly flow and stable high pressure, keeping radiative cooling modest with dew points near 2–4°C and light winds. This setup supports the tight market split between 8°C-or-higher and sub-zero outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical August minima average near 8°C, but recent cooler anomalies have traders weighing model consensus against potential local microclimate effects ahead of final data releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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