Northwest winds and mostly clear skies overnight are driving consensus forecasts for Chicago's August 23 low temperature into the upper 50s to low 60s, cooler than the typical mid-60s seasonal baseline. National Weather Service guidance and model runs emphasize strong radiative cooling under calm to light northerly flow following recent frontal passage, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. This setup creates tight clustering around the 58–61°F market bins, where small variations in dew point, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the official minimum recorded at O’Hare or Midway. Traders weigh these atmospheric details ahead of final verification, noting limited model spread but inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 23 agosto?
60-61°F 39%
58-59°F 35%
68-69°F 33%
62-63°F 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
51°F o inferiore
2%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
20%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
33%
70°F o superiore
4%
60-61°F 39%
58-59°F 35%
68-69°F 33%
62-63°F 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
51°F o inferiore
$6 Vol.
2%
52-53°F
$6 Vol.
8%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
10%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
20%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
35%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
33%
70°F o superiore
$45 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest winds and mostly clear skies overnight are driving consensus forecasts for Chicago's August 23 low temperature into the upper 50s to low 60s, cooler than the typical mid-60s seasonal baseline. National Weather Service guidance and model runs emphasize strong radiative cooling under calm to light northerly flow following recent frontal passage, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. This setup creates tight clustering around the 58–61°F market bins, where small variations in dew point, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the official minimum recorded at O’Hare or Midway. Traders weigh these atmospheric details ahead of final verification, noting limited model spread but inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$77Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest winds and mostly clear skies overnight are driving consensus forecasts for Chicago's August 23 low temperature into the upper 50s to low 60s, cooler than the typical mid-60s seasonal baseline. National Weather Service guidance and model runs emphasize strong radiative cooling under calm to light northerly flow following recent frontal passage, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. This setup creates tight clustering around the 58–61°F market bins, where small variations in dew point, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the official minimum recorded at O’Hare or Midway. Traders weigh these atmospheric details ahead of final verification, noting limited model spread but inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwest winds and mostly clear skies overnight are driving consensus forecasts for Chicago's August 23 low temperature into the upper 50s to low 60s, cooler than the typical mid-60s seasonal baseline. National Weather Service guidance and model runs emphasize strong radiative cooling under calm to light northerly flow following recent frontal passage, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. This setup creates tight clustering around the 58–61°F market bins, where small variations in dew point, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the official minimum recorded at O’Hare or Midway. Traders weigh these atmospheric details ahead of final verification, noting limited model spread but inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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