Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 7?
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$76,834 Vol.
$76,834 Vol.
7 mag 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$76,834 Vol.
$76,834 Vol.
7 mag 2026
55°F or below
$16,877 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$6,023 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$12,881 Vol.
Yes
60-61°F
$7,348 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$9,074 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,863 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$5,138 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,732 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$4,392 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,907 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$3,598 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$76,834Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76,834Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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