**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 34–35°C as the most likely highest temperature in Chongqing on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes (49% for 35°C, 26.5% for 34°C).** Official Chinese meteorological updates and international models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local 15-day outlooks) consistently project sunny to mostly sunny conditions under a stable continental high-pressure system, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and minimal precipitation risk. Light winds, low-to-moderate humidity, and strong solar insolation support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Recent days have featured similar patterns, with highs reaching 34–38°C across the region, and no major shifts (such as incoming rain systems or stronger monsoon influences) are indicated in the latest model runs for the immediate 48-hour window. Historical early-September baselines for Chongqing also cluster around 30–35°C, reinforcing the current outlook. Minor model spread—some runs peaking near 36°C due to localized basin heating effects—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply below 33°C or above 36°C given the absence of cooling mechanisms or extreme heat triggers in current guidance. Updated forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 3 settembre?
35°C 49%
34°C 27%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
49%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 49%
34°C 27%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$70 Vol.
3%
32°C
$21 Vol.
6%
33°C
$38 Vol.
7%
34°C
$367 Vol.
27%
35°C
$250 Vol.
49%
36°C
$9 Vol.
11%
37°C
$20 Vol.
6%
38°C
$82 Vol.
3%
39°C
$5 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 34–35°C as the most likely highest temperature in Chongqing on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes (49% for 35°C, 26.5% for 34°C).**
Official Chinese meteorological updates and international models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local 15-day outlooks) consistently project sunny to mostly sunny conditions under a stable continental high-pressure system, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and minimal precipitation risk. Light winds, low-to-moderate humidity, and strong solar insolation support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures.
Recent days have featured similar patterns, with highs reaching 34–38°C across the region, and no major shifts (such as incoming rain systems or stronger monsoon influences) are indicated in the latest model runs for the immediate 48-hour window. Historical early-September baselines for Chongqing also cluster around 30–35°C, reinforcing the current outlook.
Minor model spread—some runs peaking near 36°C due to localized basin heating effects—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply below 33°C or above 36°C given the absence of cooling mechanisms or extreme heat triggers in current guidance. Updated forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$866Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 34–35°C as the most likely highest temperature in Chongqing on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes (49% for 35°C, 26.5% for 34°C).**
Official Chinese meteorological updates and international models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local 15-day outlooks) consistently project sunny to mostly sunny conditions under a stable continental high-pressure system, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and minimal precipitation risk. Light winds, low-to-moderate humidity, and strong solar insolation support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures.
Recent days have featured similar patterns, with highs reaching 34–38°C across the region, and no major shifts (such as incoming rain systems or stronger monsoon influences) are indicated in the latest model runs for the immediate 48-hour window. Historical early-September baselines for Chongqing also cluster around 30–35°C, reinforcing the current outlook.
Minor model spread—some runs peaking near 36°C due to localized basin heating effects—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply below 33°C or above 36°C given the absence of cooling mechanisms or extreme heat triggers in current guidance. Updated forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$866Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple sources positions 34–35°C as the most likely highest temperature in Chongqing on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes (49% for 35°C, 26.5% for 34°C).** Official Chinese meteorological updates and international models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local 15-day outlooks) consistently project sunny to mostly sunny conditions under a stable continental high-pressure system, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and minimal precipitation risk. Light winds, low-to-moderate humidity, and strong solar insolation support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Recent days have featured similar patterns, with highs reaching 34–38°C across the region, and no major shifts (such as incoming rain systems or stronger monsoon influences) are indicated in the latest model runs for the immediate 48-hour window. Historical early-September baselines for Chongqing also cluster around 30–35°C, reinforcing the current outlook. Minor model spread—some runs peaking near 36°C due to localized basin heating effects—explains the smaller probabilities for adjacent outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply below 33°C or above 36°C given the absence of cooling mechanisms or extreme heat triggers in current guidance. Updated forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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