**Current short-term forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) show clear skies, light variable winds, and minimal cloud cover expected overnight into September 2, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 57% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of these model runs and historical early-September baselines for Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, where average September lows hover around 21–22°C. Supporting context includes the ongoing seasonal transition from peak summer heat (typical August lows near 25°C), with no active weather systems or significant moisture advection anticipated for the 24–48 hour window. Later-week rain and frontal passage are expected to cool conditions further, but these developments arrive after September 2. The cluster of probabilities around 18–25°C (near 42%) captures residual ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance, while low odds for 17°C or below (6.5%) or 27°C+ (6%) underscore limited downside or upside risk under the current stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 2 settembre?
18°C 84%
22°C 84%
24°C 84%
25°C 84%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
13%
18°C
84%
19°C
83%
20°C
83%
21°C
57%
22°C
84%
23°C
83%
24°C
84%
25°C
84%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
12%
18°C 84%
22°C 84%
24°C 84%
25°C 84%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
$63 Vol.
13%
18°C
$26 Vol.
84%
19°C
$0 Vol.
83%
20°C
$0 Vol.
83%
21°C
$0 Vol.
57%
22°C
$0 Vol.
84%
23°C
$0 Vol.
83%
24°C
$0 Vol.
84%
25°C
$5 Vol.
84%
26°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-term forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) show clear skies, light variable winds, and minimal cloud cover expected overnight into September 2, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 57% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of these model runs and historical early-September baselines for Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, where average September lows hover around 21–22°C.
Supporting context includes the ongoing seasonal transition from peak summer heat (typical August lows near 25°C), with no active weather systems or significant moisture advection anticipated for the 24–48 hour window. Later-week rain and frontal passage are expected to cool conditions further, but these developments arrive after September 2. The cluster of probabilities around 18–25°C (near 42%) captures residual ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance, while low odds for 17°C or below (6.5%) or 27°C+ (6%) underscore limited downside or upside risk under the current stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$259Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-term forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) show clear skies, light variable winds, and minimal cloud cover expected overnight into September 2, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 57% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of these model runs and historical early-September baselines for Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, where average September lows hover around 21–22°C.
Supporting context includes the ongoing seasonal transition from peak summer heat (typical August lows near 25°C), with no active weather systems or significant moisture advection anticipated for the 24–48 hour window. Later-week rain and frontal passage are expected to cool conditions further, but these developments arrive after September 2. The cluster of probabilities around 18–25°C (near 42%) captures residual ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance, while low odds for 17°C or below (6.5%) or 27°C+ (6%) underscore limited downside or upside risk under the current stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$259Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-term forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) show clear skies, light variable winds, and minimal cloud cover expected overnight into September 2, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 57% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of these model runs and historical early-September baselines for Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, where average September lows hover around 21–22°C. Supporting context includes the ongoing seasonal transition from peak summer heat (typical August lows near 25°C), with no active weather systems or significant moisture advection anticipated for the 24–48 hour window. Later-week rain and frontal passage are expected to cool conditions further, but these developments arrive after September 2. The cluster of probabilities around 18–25°C (near 42%) captures residual ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance, while low odds for 17°C or below (6.5%) or 27°C+ (6%) underscore limited downside or upside risk under the current stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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