**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 1° settembre?
18°C or below 92%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
18°C or below
92%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
32%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 92%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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