Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Chongqing will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 3, 2026, with daytime highs near 33°C and overnight lows projected between 22–24°C under light winds and moderate humidity. Stable high-pressure patterns have limited cloud cover and precipitation, promoting radiative cooling overnight but tempered by regional warmth and minimal frontal activity. Model consensus shows slight variations in nocturnal minimums tied to exact humidity and wind shifts, creating uncertainty around thresholds like 21°C versus 24°C. This scientific variability, set against typical early-September baselines near 23°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 18–24°C range while discounting extremes above 28°C or well below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 3 settembre?
18°C or below 89%
21°C 45%
27°C 44.5%
24°C 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
18°C or below
89%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
45%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
44%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 89%
21°C 45%
27°C 44.5%
24°C 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
89%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
45%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$5 Vol.
25%
27°C
$5 Vol.
44%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Chongqing will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 3, 2026, with daytime highs near 33°C and overnight lows projected between 22–24°C under light winds and moderate humidity. Stable high-pressure patterns have limited cloud cover and precipitation, promoting radiative cooling overnight but tempered by regional warmth and minimal frontal activity. Model consensus shows slight variations in nocturnal minimums tied to exact humidity and wind shifts, creating uncertainty around thresholds like 21°C versus 24°C. This scientific variability, set against typical early-September baselines near 23°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 18–24°C range while discounting extremes above 28°C or well below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Chongqing will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 3, 2026, with daytime highs near 33°C and overnight lows projected between 22–24°C under light winds and moderate humidity. Stable high-pressure patterns have limited cloud cover and precipitation, promoting radiative cooling overnight but tempered by regional warmth and minimal frontal activity. Model consensus shows slight variations in nocturnal minimums tied to exact humidity and wind shifts, creating uncertainty around thresholds like 21°C versus 24°C. This scientific variability, set against typical early-September baselines near 23°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 18–24°C range while discounting extremes above 28°C or well below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Chongqing will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 3, 2026, with daytime highs near 33°C and overnight lows projected between 22–24°C under light winds and moderate humidity. Stable high-pressure patterns have limited cloud cover and precipitation, promoting radiative cooling overnight but tempered by regional warmth and minimal frontal activity. Model consensus shows slight variations in nocturnal minimums tied to exact humidity and wind shifts, creating uncertainty around thresholds like 21°C versus 24°C. This scientific variability, set against typical early-September baselines near 23°C, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 18–24°C range while discounting extremes above 28°C or well below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti