Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on July 2 likely near 18–20 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official guidance shows a high near 18 °C with light showers and northerly winds, while some ensemble members allow modest warming to 20–21 °C under variable cloud cover. At this latitude and season, small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C, and updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria. Traders weigh these near-term dynamical uncertainties against climatological July averages of roughly 21 °C, keeping probabilities dispersed across the narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 2?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,742 Vol.
$67,742 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,742 Vol.
$67,742 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on July 2 likely near 18–20 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official guidance shows a high near 18 °C with light showers and northerly winds, while some ensemble members allow modest warming to 20–21 °C under variable cloud cover. At this latitude and season, small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C, and updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria. Traders weigh these near-term dynamical uncertainties against climatological July averages of roughly 21 °C, keeping probabilities dispersed across the narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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