Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 9 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 9 maggio?
24°C 100.0%
17°C o meno <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,146 Vol.
$92,146 Vol.
9 mag 2026
17°C o meno
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sì
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C o meno <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,146 Vol.
$92,146 Vol.
9 mag 2026
17°C o meno
$3,114 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,285 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,085 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,384 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,585 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,767 Vol.
No
23°C
$25,707 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,151 Vol.
Sì
25°C
$11,325 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,335 Vol.
No
27°C o superiore
$7,408 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$92,146Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$92,146Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on May 9, backed by near-complete NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 24°C amid mild southerly winds (10-18 km/h), partial cloud cover, and hazy conditions typical of early May's transitional weather. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs from May 8 forecasting highs of 23-25°C, influenced by warm air advection from the Mediterranean and above-average seasonal norms (historical May average ~21°C). With the dataset largely finalized 24 hours post-event, revision risk is minimal; only an improbable official NOAA adjustment to a higher reading from overlooked hourly data could challenge this positioning, pending final timeseries confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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