Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's April 19 highest temperature, with implied probabilities clustering around 33°C (30%) and 34°C (29%) despite BMKG's latest forecast of berawan (cloudy) conditions limiting district highs to 29-30°C. Recent observations, including 31°C on April 16 under sunny skies and a 34.1°C peak early April at Kemayoran station, underscore urban heat island amplification and variable insolation as key differentiators, potentially pushing official station readings higher if clouds thin midday. Historical April averages hover at 32°C amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical tropical diurnal cycles, with sea breeze timing and humidity influencing peaks. Watch BMKG's April 18 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 19?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 19?
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
31°C 17%
35°C 17%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C
16%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
17%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
31°C 17%
35°C 17%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C
16%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
17%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's April 19 highest temperature, with implied probabilities clustering around 33°C (30%) and 34°C (29%) despite BMKG's latest forecast of berawan (cloudy) conditions limiting district highs to 29-30°C. Recent observations, including 31°C on April 16 under sunny skies and a 34.1°C peak early April at Kemayoran station, underscore urban heat island amplification and variable insolation as key differentiators, potentially pushing official station readings higher if clouds thin midday. Historical April averages hover at 32°C amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical tropical diurnal cycles, with sea breeze timing and humidity influencing peaks. Watch BMKG's April 18 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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