Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,829 Vol.
$28,829 Vol.
7 mag 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,829 Vol.
$28,829 Vol.
7 mag 2026
27°C or below
$559 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,817 Vol.
No
29°C
$987 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,403 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,892 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,010 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,548 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,317 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$1,971 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,578 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,747 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$28,829Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,829Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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