Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 Vol.
$46,008 Vol.
3 mag 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 Vol.
$46,008 Vol.
3 mag 2026
27°C or below
$7,638 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,115 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,559 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,407 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,372 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,467 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,841 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,106 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$2,579 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,608 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,317 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$46,008Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,008Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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