Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,902 Vol.
$57,902 Vol.
13 giu 2026
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,902 Vol.
$57,902 Vol.
13 giu 2026
34°C or below
$17,873 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$9,346 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,936 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,669 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,993 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,829 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,755 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,562 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,160 Vol.
No
43°C
$1,371 Vol.
No
44°C or higher
$409 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$57,902Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,902Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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