AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 Vol.
$79,809 Vol.
7 giu 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 Vol.
$79,809 Vol.
7 giu 2026
28°C or below
$2,871 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,016 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,914 Vol.
No
31°C
$18,685 Vol.
No
32°C
$15,898 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,134 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$9,077 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,196 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,480 Vol.
No
37°C
$379 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$158 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$79,809Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,809Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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