Spain’s state meteorological agency recorded an official daily maximum of exactly 35°C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station on May 31, establishing the market’s near-certain outcome for that threshold. This measurement reflects the resolution criteria for the contract and aligns with broader late-May warmth across central Spain, where surface observations showed elevated temperatures amid typical early-summer atmospheric patterns. Historical May maxima at the same station have rarely exceeded 34°C in recent decades, underscoring the day’s outlier status within climatological baselines. Because the value falls squarely inside the 35°C bin and no measurement revisions are anticipated, trader consensus has consolidated around this result, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 31?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 31?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$79,257 Vol.
$79,257 Vol.
31 mag 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$79,257 Vol.
$79,257 Vol.
31 mag 2026
30°C or below
$1,134 Vol.
No
31°C
$691 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,750 Vol.
No
33°C
$17,652 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,343 Vol.
No
35°C
$14,508 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$12,986 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,782 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,636 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,403 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$2,371 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Spain’s state meteorological agency recorded an official daily maximum of exactly 35°C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station on May 31, establishing the market’s near-certain outcome for that threshold. This measurement reflects the resolution criteria for the contract and aligns with broader late-May warmth across central Spain, where surface observations showed elevated temperatures amid typical early-summer atmospheric patterns. Historical May maxima at the same station have rarely exceeded 34°C in recent decades, underscoring the day’s outlier status within climatological baselines. Because the value falls squarely inside the 35°C bin and no measurement revisions are anticipated, trader consensus has consolidated around this result, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$79,257Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Spain’s state meteorological agency recorded an official daily maximum of exactly 35°C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station on May 31, establishing the market’s near-certain outcome for that threshold. This measurement reflects the resolution criteria for the contract and aligns with broader late-May warmth across central Spain, where surface observations showed elevated temperatures amid typical early-summer atmospheric patterns. Historical May maxima at the same station have rarely exceeded 34°C in recent decades, underscoring the day’s outlier status within climatological baselines. Because the value falls squarely inside the 35°C bin and no measurement revisions are anticipated, trader consensus has consolidated around this result, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,257Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Spain’s state meteorological agency recorded an official daily maximum of exactly 35°C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station on May 31, establishing the market’s near-certain outcome for that threshold. This measurement reflects the resolution criteria for the contract and aligns with broader late-May warmth across central Spain, where surface observations showed elevated temperatures amid typical early-summer atmospheric patterns. Historical May maxima at the same station have rarely exceeded 34°C in recent decades, underscoring the day’s outlier status within climatological baselines. Because the value falls squarely inside the 35°C bin and no measurement revisions are anticipated, trader consensus has consolidated around this result, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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