Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 7?
17°C or below 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$260,507 Vol.
$260,507 Vol.
7 mag 2026
17°C or below
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
17°C or below 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$260,507 Vol.
$260,507 Vol.
7 mag 2026
17°C or below
$79,819 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$38,848 Vol.
No
19°C
$29,269 Vol.
No
20°C
$25,556 Vol.
No
21°C
$25,522 Vol.
No
22°C
$19,863 Vol.
No
23°C
$22,460 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,236 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,652 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,361 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,921 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$260,507Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$260,507Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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