Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 8?
19°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$278,106 Vol.
$278,106 Vol.
8 mag 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$278,106 Vol.
$278,106 Vol.
8 mag 2026
18°C or below
$145,205 Vol.
No
19°C
$30,798 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$24,949 Vol.
No
21°C
$23,060 Vol.
No
22°C
$17,594 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,905 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,789 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,361 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,386 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$278,106Data di fine
8 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$278,106Data di fine
8 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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