Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Manila on June 2 stems from established climatological patterns, where PAGASA records show early-June daily maxima averaging 31–33°C under southwest monsoon conditions. Current official forecasts indicate highs near 32°C with limited day-to-day variability and no anomalous cooling signals in recent model runs. Historical data confirm that temperatures below 30°C are rare this season, supporting the near-certain market positioning. Only an unexpected strong cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain highly improbable based on observational baselines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on June 2?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 2?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,766 Vol.
$39,766 Vol.
2 giu 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,766 Vol.
$39,766 Vol.
2 giu 2026
22°C or below
$297 Vol.
No
23°C
$470 Vol.
No
24°C
$443 Vol.
No
25°C
$307 Vol.
No
26°C
$692 Vol.
No
27°C
$750 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,481 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,540 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,983 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,029 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$18,774 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Manila on June 2 stems from established climatological patterns, where PAGASA records show early-June daily maxima averaging 31–33°C under southwest monsoon conditions. Current official forecasts indicate highs near 32°C with limited day-to-day variability and no anomalous cooling signals in recent model runs. Historical data confirm that temperatures below 30°C are rare this season, supporting the near-certain market positioning. Only an unexpected strong cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain highly improbable based on observational baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 31, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,766Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Manila on June 2 stems from established climatological patterns, where PAGASA records show early-June daily maxima averaging 31–33°C under southwest monsoon conditions. Current official forecasts indicate highs near 32°C with limited day-to-day variability and no anomalous cooling signals in recent model runs. Historical data confirm that temperatures below 30°C are rare this season, supporting the near-certain market positioning. Only an unexpected strong cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain highly improbable based on observational baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,766Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Manila on June 2 stems from established climatological patterns, where PAGASA records show early-June daily maxima averaging 31–33°C under southwest monsoon conditions. Current official forecasts indicate highs near 32°C with limited day-to-day variability and no anomalous cooling signals in recent model runs. Historical data confirm that temperatures below 30°C are rare this season, supporting the near-certain market positioning. Only an unexpected strong cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain highly improbable based on observational baselines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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