Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on June 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,746 Vol.
$86,746 Vol.
26 giu 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,746 Vol.
$86,746 Vol.
26 giu 2026
26°C or below
$28,094 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,663 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,454 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,322 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,763 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,815 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$4,659 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,039 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,924 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,571 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,444 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$86,746Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86,746Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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