PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on May 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 4?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,772 Vol.
$35,772 Vol.
4 mag 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,772 Vol.
$35,772 Vol.
4 mag 2026
29°C or below
$469 Vol.
No
30°C
$451 Vol.
No
31°C
$869 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,034 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,261 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,349 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,606 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$6,324 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,390 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,446 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,572 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$35,772Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,772Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
PAGASA forecasts a high temperature of 35°C for Port Area, Manila—the likely resolution station—on May 4 under clear skies and easterlies bringing warm, dry air, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations show Metro Manila stations like nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport peaking at 35.7°C, while Port Area aligns below 36°C amid stable conditions typical of May's dry hot season, where averages hover around 33–34°C but routinely hit 35°C during heat episodes. No low-pressure areas or thunderstorms disrupt patterns, per latest advisories. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst from prolonged sunshine pushing past 35.9°C, though 0% rain chance and cooling evening trends make it unlikely; await PAGASA's end-of-day summary.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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