Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 15 because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability during the peak of the rainy season. High elevation near 2,240 m keeps baseline highs near the long-term August average of 24–25 °C, while afternoon convective clouds, humidity, and scattered showers frequently limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Slight differences between leading outcomes hinge on timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention—variables that diverge modestly across ensemble runs. With resolution just one day away, the near-even split between the two top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than any major shift in larger-scale circulation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 15 agosto?
26°C 39%
27°C 38%
25°C 10%
28°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
39%
27°C
38%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 39%
27°C 38%
25°C 10%
28°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$141 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$127 Vol.
2%
24°C
$58 Vol.
5%
25°C
$248 Vol.
10%
26°C
$168 Vol.
39%
27°C
$706 Vol.
38%
28°C
$67 Vol.
8%
29°C
$168 Vol.
2%
30°C o superiore
$346 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 15 because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability during the peak of the rainy season. High elevation near 2,240 m keeps baseline highs near the long-term August average of 24–25 °C, while afternoon convective clouds, humidity, and scattered showers frequently limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Slight differences between leading outcomes hinge on timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention—variables that diverge modestly across ensemble runs. With resolution just one day away, the near-even split between the two top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than any major shift in larger-scale circulation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,100Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 15 because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability during the peak of the rainy season. High elevation near 2,240 m keeps baseline highs near the long-term August average of 24–25 °C, while afternoon convective clouds, humidity, and scattered showers frequently limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Slight differences between leading outcomes hinge on timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention—variables that diverge modestly across ensemble runs. With resolution just one day away, the near-even split between the two top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than any major shift in larger-scale circulation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,100Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 15 because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability during the peak of the rainy season. High elevation near 2,240 m keeps baseline highs near the long-term August average of 24–25 °C, while afternoon convective clouds, humidity, and scattered showers frequently limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Slight differences between leading outcomes hinge on timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention—variables that diverge modestly across ensemble runs. With resolution just one day away, the near-even split between the two top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than any major shift in larger-scale circulation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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