Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a Mexico City daily maximum near 24–25°C for July 10, with light showers and afternoon convective clouds typical of the North American monsoon season. This rainy-season pattern often caps peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, producing the tight 34.5%–30.5% spread between the 24°C and 25°C contracts. Slight model differences in cloud timing and precipitation onset explain why 23°C trails at 16% while higher outcomes remain below 9%. Historical July climatology centers on 23–24°C averages, but day-to-day variability from highland elevation and thunderstorm development keeps the market closely balanced ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 10 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 10 luglio?
25°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,884 Vol.
$24,884 Vol.
10 lug 2026
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sì
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,884 Vol.
$24,884 Vol.
10 lug 2026
19°C o inferiore
$2,854 Vol.
No
20°C
$809 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,413 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,851 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,789 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,760 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,240 Vol.
Sì
26°C
$3,101 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,460 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,958 Vol.
No
29°C o superiore
$648 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a Mexico City daily maximum near 24–25°C for July 10, with light showers and afternoon convective clouds typical of the North American monsoon season. This rainy-season pattern often caps peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, producing the tight 34.5%–30.5% spread between the 24°C and 25°C contracts. Slight model differences in cloud timing and precipitation onset explain why 23°C trails at 16% while higher outcomes remain below 9%. Historical July climatology centers on 23–24°C averages, but day-to-day variability from highland elevation and thunderstorm development keeps the market closely balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$24,884Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a Mexico City daily maximum near 24–25°C for July 10, with light showers and afternoon convective clouds typical of the North American monsoon season. This rainy-season pattern often caps peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, producing the tight 34.5%–30.5% spread between the 24°C and 25°C contracts. Slight model differences in cloud timing and precipitation onset explain why 23°C trails at 16% while higher outcomes remain below 9%. Historical July climatology centers on 23–24°C averages, but day-to-day variability from highland elevation and thunderstorm development keeps the market closely balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,884Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a Mexico City daily maximum near 24–25°C for July 10, with light showers and afternoon convective clouds typical of the North American monsoon season. This rainy-season pattern often caps peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, producing the tight 34.5%–30.5% spread between the 24°C and 25°C contracts. Slight model differences in cloud timing and precipitation onset explain why 23°C trails at 16% while higher outcomes remain below 9%. Historical July climatology centers on 23–24°C averages, but day-to-day variability from highland elevation and thunderstorm development keeps the market closely balanced ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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