Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 2 agosto?
33°C 36%
32°C 34%
31°C 25%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
36%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C o superiore
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 34%
31°C 25%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$25 Vol.
6%
30°C
$20 Vol.
5%
31°C
$28 Vol.
25%
32°C
$20 Vol.
34%
33°C
$105 Vol.
36%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C
$20 Vol.
3%
36°C
$10 Vol.
1%
37°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$277Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$277Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models highlight a combination of high solar insolation and limited afternoon convection in Panama City's tropical wet season as the main driver pushing the implied probability toward 33°C for the August 2 maximum. With climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C, current guidance shows a window for brief clearing that could allow temperatures to climb several degrees above the seasonal norm before typical thunderstorms develop. Market positioning reflects traders weighting these short-term forecast shifts more heavily than longer-term ENSO influences, while acknowledging model spread on exact timing and moisture return. Updated runs from regional agencies in the next 24 hours remain the key upcoming data point that could refine or shift these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti