Official INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 2 project a maximum of 28°C under predominantly stable conditions with many clouds and light northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome. This reflects broader seasonal patterns where August highs average near 24–25°C, yet current guidance indicates values above the climatological baseline across the Southeast region. Limited moisture and weak frontal activity reduce cooling potential, while model consensus favors modest daytime warming without significant variability. Trader positioning around 27–29°C incorporates typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C common in short-range predictions, with resolution hinging on official INMET observations at the primary São Paulo station. No major recent shifts in atmospheric patterns have altered this outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 2 agosto?
28°C 47%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
26°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
28%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
26°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
28%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 2 project a maximum of 28°C under predominantly stable conditions with many clouds and light northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome. This reflects broader seasonal patterns where August highs average near 24–25°C, yet current guidance indicates values above the climatological baseline across the Southeast region. Limited moisture and weak frontal activity reduce cooling potential, while model consensus favors modest daytime warming without significant variability. Trader positioning around 27–29°C incorporates typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C common in short-range predictions, with resolution hinging on official INMET observations at the primary São Paulo station. No major recent shifts in atmospheric patterns have altered this outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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