Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2 indicate sunny conditions supporting a high near 76–78°F amid a gradual warming trend driven by persistent ridging and reduced marine influence. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probabilities clustered in the 74–79°F range, reflecting trader consensus on coastal temperature moderation from the Pacific and limited offshore flow. Recent ensemble guidance shows slow cooling after the weekend, keeping readings above the typical August high of around 68°F, though afternoon sea breezes could cap peaks near the lower end of the favored bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the upper-level pattern ahead of the daily maximum will be key variables for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 2 agosto?
76-77°F 38%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 38%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$32 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$26 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$57 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$7 Vol.
38%
78-79°F
$69 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$94 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$33 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
86°F o superiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2 indicate sunny conditions supporting a high near 76–78°F amid a gradual warming trend driven by persistent ridging and reduced marine influence. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probabilities clustered in the 74–79°F range, reflecting trader consensus on coastal temperature moderation from the Pacific and limited offshore flow. Recent ensemble guidance shows slow cooling after the weekend, keeping readings above the typical August high of around 68°F, though afternoon sea breezes could cap peaks near the lower end of the favored bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the upper-level pattern ahead of the daily maximum will be key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,761Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2 indicate sunny conditions supporting a high near 76–78°F amid a gradual warming trend driven by persistent ridging and reduced marine influence. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probabilities clustered in the 74–79°F range, reflecting trader consensus on coastal temperature moderation from the Pacific and limited offshore flow. Recent ensemble guidance shows slow cooling after the weekend, keeping readings above the typical August high of around 68°F, though afternoon sea breezes could cap peaks near the lower end of the favored bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the upper-level pattern ahead of the daily maximum will be key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,761Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2 indicate sunny conditions supporting a high near 76–78°F amid a gradual warming trend driven by persistent ridging and reduced marine influence. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probabilities clustered in the 74–79°F range, reflecting trader consensus on coastal temperature moderation from the Pacific and limited offshore flow. Recent ensemble guidance shows slow cooling after the weekend, keeping readings above the typical August high of around 68°F, though afternoon sea breezes could cap peaks near the lower end of the favored bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the upper-level pattern ahead of the daily maximum will be key variables for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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