Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 23–25°C in Mexico City on September 20, consistent with the city's 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest upside potential from variable humidity and occasional clearer intervals, which helps explain trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability alongside 27°C or higher at 35.5%. Historical September highs average 23–24°C, providing context for the distribution, while overnight model updates from official agencies will clarify any shifts in diurnal warming before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 20 settembre?
26°C 48%
27°C o superiore 36%
25°C 14%
24°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
48%
27°C o superiore
36%
26°C 48%
27°C o superiore 36%
25°C 14%
24°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$26 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$202 Vol.
1%
24°C
$268 Vol.
3%
25°C
$434 Vol.
14%
26°C
$564 Vol.
48%
27°C o superiore
$2,432 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 23–25°C in Mexico City on September 20, consistent with the city's 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest upside potential from variable humidity and occasional clearer intervals, which helps explain trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability alongside 27°C or higher at 35.5%. Historical September highs average 23–24°C, providing context for the distribution, while overnight model updates from official agencies will clarify any shifts in diurnal warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,330Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 23–25°C in Mexico City on September 20, consistent with the city's 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest upside potential from variable humidity and occasional clearer intervals, which helps explain trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability alongside 27°C or higher at 35.5%. Historical September highs average 23–24°C, providing context for the distribution, while overnight model updates from official agencies will clarify any shifts in diurnal warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,330Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 23–25°C in Mexico City on September 20, consistent with the city's 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest upside potential from variable humidity and occasional clearer intervals, which helps explain trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability alongside 27°C or higher at 35.5%. Historical September highs average 23–24°C, providing context for the distribution, while overnight model updates from official agencies will clarify any shifts in diurnal warming before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti