Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on May 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,973 Vol.
$82,973 Vol.
4 mag 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,973 Vol.
$82,973 Vol.
4 mag 2026
16°C or below
$273 Vol.
No
17°C
$337 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,032 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,402 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,625 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,697 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,783 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,107 Vol.
No
24°C
$23,816 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$14,548 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$15,354 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$82,973Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,973Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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