The near-certain 99.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73 °F high on June 17 reflect official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source, which recorded that exact peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Recent model guidance and surface analyses confirmed a modest marine influence moderating temperatures below the broader Pacific Northwest heat anomaly, keeping readings near the long-term June average rather than the upper-80s values initially projected earlier in the month. Minor probability remains on adjacent bins only because of potential station calibration differences or rounding conventions, yet post-event verification has left virtually no realistic pathway for those outcomes to resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seattle on June 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 17?
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$144,022 Vol.
$144,022 Vol.
17 giu 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$144,022 Vol.
$144,022 Vol.
17 giu 2026
65°F or below
$15,346 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$26,627 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$11,391 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$49,377 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$9,985 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$12,125 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$7,903 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,017 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,342 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$689 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$222 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain 99.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73 °F high on June 17 reflect official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source, which recorded that exact peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Recent model guidance and surface analyses confirmed a modest marine influence moderating temperatures below the broader Pacific Northwest heat anomaly, keeping readings near the long-term June average rather than the upper-80s values initially projected earlier in the month. Minor probability remains on adjacent bins only because of potential station calibration differences or rounding conventions, yet post-event verification has left virtually no realistic pathway for those outcomes to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$144,022Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain 99.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73 °F high on June 17 reflect official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source, which recorded that exact peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Recent model guidance and surface analyses confirmed a modest marine influence moderating temperatures below the broader Pacific Northwest heat anomaly, keeping readings near the long-term June average rather than the upper-80s values initially projected earlier in the month. Minor probability remains on adjacent bins only because of potential station calibration differences or rounding conventions, yet post-event verification has left virtually no realistic pathway for those outcomes to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144,022Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The near-certain 99.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73 °F high on June 17 reflect official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source, which recorded that exact peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Recent model guidance and surface analyses confirmed a modest marine influence moderating temperatures below the broader Pacific Northwest heat anomaly, keeping readings near the long-term June average rather than the upper-80s values initially projected earlier in the month. Minor probability remains on adjacent bins only because of potential station calibration differences or rounding conventions, yet post-event verification has left virtually no realistic pathway for those outcomes to resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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