Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 17 at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting Météo-France's latest forecasts projecting afternoon highs around 21°C under cloudy but dry conditions with southerly winds advecting mild air. This follows a warming trend this week, with observed highs of 18°C on April 14-15 and 20°C forecast for April 16, above the seasonal average of 16°C amid persistent high-pressure influence. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation to cap temperatures at 20°C or allowing breaks for 22°C peaks, plus urban heat island effects at the resolving Paris-Montsouris station. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering near 20-22°C, but overnight updates could refine diurnal maxima before resolution tomorrow evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 aprile?
21°C 32%
20°C 20%
22°C 20%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
$30,367 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,367 Vol.
17 apr 2026
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
20%
21°C
32%
22°C
20%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
1%
21°C 32%
20°C 20%
22°C 20%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
$30,367 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,367 Vol.
17 apr 2026
16°C o inferiore
$2,935 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,584 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,369 Vol.
2%
19°C
$3,244 Vol.
13%
20°C
$2,321 Vol.
20%
21°C
$1,841 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,504 Vol.
20%
23°C
$2,767 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,337 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,796 Vol.
1%
26°C o superiore
$3,755 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 17 at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting Météo-France's latest forecasts projecting afternoon highs around 21°C under cloudy but dry conditions with southerly winds advecting mild air. This follows a warming trend this week, with observed highs of 18°C on April 14-15 and 20°C forecast for April 16, above the seasonal average of 16°C amid persistent high-pressure influence. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation to cap temperatures at 20°C or allowing breaks for 22°C peaks, plus urban heat island effects at the resolving Paris-Montsouris station. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering near 20-22°C, but overnight updates could refine diurnal maxima before resolution tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$30,367Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 17 at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting Météo-France's latest forecasts projecting afternoon highs around 21°C under cloudy but dry conditions with southerly winds advecting mild air. This follows a warming trend this week, with observed highs of 18°C on April 14-15 and 20°C forecast for April 16, above the seasonal average of 16°C amid persistent high-pressure influence. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation to cap temperatures at 20°C or allowing breaks for 22°C peaks, plus urban heat island effects at the resolving Paris-Montsouris station. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering near 20-22°C, but overnight updates could refine diurnal maxima before resolution tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,367Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 17 at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting Météo-France's latest forecasts projecting afternoon highs around 21°C under cloudy but dry conditions with southerly winds advecting mild air. This follows a warming trend this week, with observed highs of 18°C on April 14-15 and 20°C forecast for April 16, above the seasonal average of 16°C amid persistent high-pressure influence. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation to cap temperatures at 20°C or allowing breaks for 22°C peaks, plus urban heat island effects at the resolving Paris-Montsouris station. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering near 20-22°C, but overnight updates could refine diurnal maxima before resolution tomorrow evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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