Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus point to a daytime high near 20-21°C in Paris on April 18, driving trader sentiment toward those outcomes amid a mild spring pattern with highs consistently above the 16.1°C April climatological average. The closely matched probabilities reflect inherent uncertainty in exact peak temperatures, influenced by variable cloud cover, timing of solar heating, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official stations like Paris-Montsouris. Recent days have seen pleasant conditions with temperatures in the upper teens, but subtle differences in model runs—GFS slightly warmer, ECMWF more conservative—keep 19-22°C viable; final resolution hinges on verified observations from Météo-France by day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 aprile?
20°C 27%
21°C 25%
22°C 20%
19°C 19%
$31,583 Vol.
$31,583 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C or higher
5%
20°C 27%
21°C 25%
22°C 20%
19°C 19%
$31,583 Vol.
$31,583 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus point to a daytime high near 20-21°C in Paris on April 18, driving trader sentiment toward those outcomes amid a mild spring pattern with highs consistently above the 16.1°C April climatological average. The closely matched probabilities reflect inherent uncertainty in exact peak temperatures, influenced by variable cloud cover, timing of solar heating, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official stations like Paris-Montsouris. Recent days have seen pleasant conditions with temperatures in the upper teens, but subtle differences in model runs—GFS slightly warmer, ECMWF more conservative—keep 19-22°C viable; final resolution hinges on verified observations from Météo-France by day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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