Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 21, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent cool spring conditions across northern France, with northerly winds suppressing highs amid partly cloudy skies, mirroring the prior day's identical 15°C peak and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-teens Celsius. April climatological norms for Paris average 15-16°C daytime highs, providing historical context for this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Météo-France due to instrument anomalies, with validated observations typically finalizing within 24-48 hours post-event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on April 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 21?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$204,083 Vol.
$204,083 Vol.
21 apr 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$204,083 Vol.
$204,083 Vol.
21 apr 2026
10°C or below
$1,775 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,292 Vol.
No
12°C
$6,432 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,366 Vol.
No
14°C
$29,029 Vol.
No
15°C
$47,194 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$30,789 Vol.
No
17°C
$31,610 Vol.
No
18°C
$19,654 Vol.
No
19°C
$14,445 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$12,496 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 21, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent cool spring conditions across northern France, with northerly winds suppressing highs amid partly cloudy skies, mirroring the prior day's identical 15°C peak and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-teens Celsius. April climatological norms for Paris average 15-16°C daytime highs, providing historical context for this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Météo-France due to instrument anomalies, with validated observations typically finalizing within 24-48 hours post-event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$204,083Data di fine
21 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 21, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent cool spring conditions across northern France, with northerly winds suppressing highs amid partly cloudy skies, mirroring the prior day's identical 15°C peak and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-teens Celsius. April climatological norms for Paris average 15-16°C daytime highs, providing historical context for this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Météo-France due to instrument anomalies, with validated observations typically finalizing within 24-48 hours post-event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$204,083Data di fine
21 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 21, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent cool spring conditions across northern France, with northerly winds suppressing highs amid partly cloudy skies, mirroring the prior day's identical 15°C peak and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-teens Celsius. April climatological norms for Paris average 15-16°C daytime highs, providing historical context for this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Météo-France due to instrument anomalies, with validated observations typically finalizing within 24-48 hours post-event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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