Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on May 8?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 Vol.
$126,577 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 Vol.
$126,577 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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