Latest ensemble forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather project a high temperature near 29-30°C in São Paulo on April 18, aligning with trader sentiment where these outcomes trade at about 30% each amid inherent model uncertainty. This positioning stems from a warmer-than-normal April—monthly mean already +1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, as seen in recent days' highs of 27-29°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon shower risks (62% chance per Climatempo), potentially capping peaks at 29°C via cloud-induced cooling, versus drier scenarios allowing 30°C under light northwest winds. New INMET bulletins and GFS/ECMWF updates expected by April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
30°C 30%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
27°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
13%
28°C
19%
29°C
30%
30°C
30%
31°C
11%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
27°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
24°C or below
$260 Vol.
1%
25°C
$118 Vol.
3%
26°C
$40 Vol.
8%
27°C
$61 Vol.
13%
28°C
$49 Vol.
19%
29°C
$73 Vol.
30%
30°C
$84 Vol.
30%
31°C
$110 Vol.
11%
32°C
$82 Vol.
7%
33°C
$61 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$278 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather project a high temperature near 29-30°C in São Paulo on April 18, aligning with trader sentiment where these outcomes trade at about 30% each amid inherent model uncertainty. This positioning stems from a warmer-than-normal April—monthly mean already +1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, as seen in recent days' highs of 27-29°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon shower risks (62% chance per Climatempo), potentially capping peaks at 29°C via cloud-induced cooling, versus drier scenarios allowing 30°C under light northwest winds. New INMET bulletins and GFS/ECMWF updates expected by April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$1,216Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather project a high temperature near 29-30°C in São Paulo on April 18, aligning with trader sentiment where these outcomes trade at about 30% each amid inherent model uncertainty. This positioning stems from a warmer-than-normal April—monthly mean already +1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, as seen in recent days' highs of 27-29°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon shower risks (62% chance per Climatempo), potentially capping peaks at 29°C via cloud-induced cooling, versus drier scenarios allowing 30°C under light northwest winds. New INMET bulletins and GFS/ECMWF updates expected by April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,216Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather project a high temperature near 29-30°C in São Paulo on April 18, aligning with trader sentiment where these outcomes trade at about 30% each amid inherent model uncertainty. This positioning stems from a warmer-than-normal April—monthly mean already +1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, as seen in recent days' highs of 27-29°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon shower risks (62% chance per Climatempo), potentially capping peaks at 29°C via cloud-induced cooling, versus drier scenarios allowing 30°C under light northwest winds. New INMET bulletins and GFS/ECMWF updates expected by April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti