Official meteorological observations for São Paulo on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 19°C at the primary urban station, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology typically features highs near 21–22°C under transitional winter conditions, yet localized subsidence, clear skies, and modest northeasterly flow kept peak readings one degree cooler than the seasonal norm. Traders converged on this result once preliminary INMET and airport data confirmed the threshold, leaving negligible volume on adjacent brackets. Only a subsequent revision in station selection or quality-control adjustment could reopen the market, though such changes remain rare once initial reports stabilize.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 giugno?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$123,123 Vol.
$123,123 Vol.
15 giu 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$123,123 Vol.
$123,123 Vol.
15 giu 2026
13°C or below
$182 Vol.
No
14°C
$466 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,191 Vol.
No
16°C
$12,053 Vol.
No
17°C
$27,088 Vol.
No
18°C
$54,220 Vol.
No
19°C
$16,548 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$3,723 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,957 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,586 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,110 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations for São Paulo on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 19°C at the primary urban station, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology typically features highs near 21–22°C under transitional winter conditions, yet localized subsidence, clear skies, and modest northeasterly flow kept peak readings one degree cooler than the seasonal norm. Traders converged on this result once preliminary INMET and airport data confirmed the threshold, leaving negligible volume on adjacent brackets. Only a subsequent revision in station selection or quality-control adjustment could reopen the market, though such changes remain rare once initial reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$123,123Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations for São Paulo on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 19°C at the primary urban station, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology typically features highs near 21–22°C under transitional winter conditions, yet localized subsidence, clear skies, and modest northeasterly flow kept peak readings one degree cooler than the seasonal norm. Traders converged on this result once preliminary INMET and airport data confirmed the threshold, leaving negligible volume on adjacent brackets. Only a subsequent revision in station selection or quality-control adjustment could reopen the market, though such changes remain rare once initial reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123,123Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations for São Paulo on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 19°C at the primary urban station, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology typically features highs near 21–22°C under transitional winter conditions, yet localized subsidence, clear skies, and modest northeasterly flow kept peak readings one degree cooler than the seasonal norm. Traders converged on this result once preliminary INMET and airport data confirmed the threshold, leaving negligible volume on adjacent brackets. Only a subsequent revision in station selection or quality-control adjustment could reopen the market, though such changes remain rare once initial reports stabilize.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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