Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 Vol.
$275,944 Vol.
12 mag 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 Vol.
$275,944 Vol.
12 mag 2026
25°C or below
$18,367 Vol.
No
26°C
$16,771 Vol.
No
27°C
$18,032 Vol.
No
28°C
$56,280 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$43,282 Vol.
No
30°C
$24,511 Vol.
No
31°C
$20,946 Vol.
No
32°C
$32,042 Vol.
No
33°C
$19,465 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,396 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$11,853 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$275,944Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$275,944Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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