Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Vol.
$71,401 Vol.
15 giu 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Vol.
$71,401 Vol.
15 giu 2026
22°C or below
$372 Vol.
No
23°C
$735 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,251 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,687 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,194 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,994 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,349 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,547 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,981 Vol.
No
31°C
$17,011 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$12,281 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$71,401Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,401Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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