Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency at the Tokyo station confirm a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 31, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Preceding forecasts anticipated a peak near 29°C under partly cloudy conditions, yet stronger marine influence, increased afternoon cloud cover, and localized wind patterns moderated temperatures by roughly 2°C. This aligns with typical late-May variability in the region, where urban heat island effects and sea-breeze moderation often produce 1–3°C deviations from model guidance. No realistic post-observation adjustments remain possible, as resolution depends solely on the verified station reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 31?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$110,221 Vol.
$110,221 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$110,221 Vol.
$110,221 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency at the Tokyo station confirm a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 31, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Preceding forecasts anticipated a peak near 29°C under partly cloudy conditions, yet stronger marine influence, increased afternoon cloud cover, and localized wind patterns moderated temperatures by roughly 2°C. This aligns with typical late-May variability in the region, where urban heat island effects and sea-breeze moderation often produce 1–3°C deviations from model guidance. No realistic post-observation adjustments remain possible, as resolution depends solely on the verified station reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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