Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
20°C or higher 100%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 Vol.
$80,284 Vol.
2 giu 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 Vol.
$80,284 Vol.
2 giu 2026
10°C or below
$347 Vol.
No
11°C
$534 Vol.
No
12°C
$277 Vol.
No
13°C
$928 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,928 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,565 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,705 Vol.
No
17°C
$11,434 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,901 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,825 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$18,840 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$80,284Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,284Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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