Neon’s wide 1,500-theater U.S. rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller *Hope* on September 9 positions the film for a modest domestic opening weekend, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to sub-$6 million. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and mixed-to-positive reviews (77% on Rotten Tomatoes) temper expectations despite strong South Korean results ($11.3 million debut) and Cannes buzz. Presales and premium-format availability provide a floor, yet historical variance for imported genre titles and competition in early September create uncertainty around mainstream appeal. Key catalysts include the first daily tracking numbers and word-of-mouth trajectory heading into the three-day frame.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBox Office del weekend di apertura "Hope"
<6 milioni 44%
9-10 milioni 29%
6-7 milioni 27%
7-8 milioni 23%
<6 milioni
44%
6-7 milioni
27%
7-8 milioni
23%
8-9 milioni
21%
9-10 milioni
29%
10 milioni+
19%
<6 milioni 44%
9-10 milioni 29%
6-7 milioni 27%
7-8 milioni 23%
<6 milioni
44%
6-7 milioni
27%
7-8 milioni
23%
8-9 milioni
21%
9-10 milioni
29%
10 milioni+
19%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Neon’s wide 1,500-theater U.S. rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller *Hope* on September 9 positions the film for a modest domestic opening weekend, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to sub-$6 million. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and mixed-to-positive reviews (77% on Rotten Tomatoes) temper expectations despite strong South Korean results ($11.3 million debut) and Cannes buzz. Presales and premium-format availability provide a floor, yet historical variance for imported genre titles and competition in early September create uncertainty around mainstream appeal. Key catalysts include the first daily tracking numbers and word-of-mouth trajectory heading into the three-day frame.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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