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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley

Marshall Callaghan 33%

Toby Thorpe 32%

Paul Gibson 24%

Sally Doyle 24%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Marshall Callaghan 33%

Toby Thorpe 32%

Paul Gibson 24%

Sally Doyle 24%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Marshall Callaghan

Marshall Callaghan

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Toby Thorpe

Toby Thorpe

$20 Vol.

32%

icon for Paul Gibson

Paul Gibson

$10 Vol.

24%

icon for Sally Doyle

Sally Doyle

$42 Vol.

24%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral contest remains tightly balanced ahead of the October 2026 local government elections, with nominations scheduled to open on 7 September. Marshall Callaghan, Toby Thorpe, Paul Gibson, and incumbent Sally Doyle lead trader pricing, reflecting their established local profiles and past involvement in council matters. No single candidate has yet consolidated support, as postal voting and compulsory participation draw from a broad electorate focused on issues such as planning, economic development, and community infrastructure. The wide spread of probabilities below 40 percent for frontrunners underscores uncertainty over who will ultimately nominate and how preferences will flow in the single-vacancy mayoral ballot. Recent council recognition for innovation and service has not materially shifted positioning, leaving room for late developments in candidate announcements or local campaigning to create separation before ballots are posted in early October.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$72
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral contest remains tightly balanced ahead of the October 2026 local government elections, with nominations scheduled to open on 7 September. Marshall Callaghan, Toby Thorpe, Paul Gibson, and incumbent Sally Doyle lead trader pricing, reflecting their established local profiles and past involvement in council matters. No single candidate has yet consolidated support, as postal voting and compulsory participation draw from a broad electorate focused on issues such as planning, economic development, and community infrastructure. The wide spread of probabilities below 40 percent for frontrunners underscores uncertainty over who will ultimately nominate and how preferences will flow in the single-vacancy mayoral ballot. Recent council recognition for innovation and service has not materially shifted positioning, leaving room for late developments in candidate announcements or local campaigning to create separation before ballots are posted in early October.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$72
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marshall Callaghan" a 33%, seguito da "Toby Thorpe" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 33¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley" è "Marshall Callaghan" a 33%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Toby Thorpe" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Huon Valley" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.