Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley

Michelle Dracoulis 50%

James Randall 28%

Jess Burns 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Michelle Dracoulis 50%

James Randall 28%

Jess Burns 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$0 Vol.

27%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Michelle Dracoulis holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the Derwent Valley mayoral race, closely followed by challengers James Randall and Jess Burns amid a crowded field of other contenders. Recent council actions under Dracoulis, including returning to a projected surplus after budget adjustments and appointing a new CEO to address governance and project delivery, provide the main platform for her re-election bid focused on financial oversight and local infrastructure. Limited polling or public campaign data on voter priorities such as tourism, riverfront development, and service delivery keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from candidate forums, nomination finalization, or any late shifts in local sentiment ahead of the Tasmanian local government elections. The broad field and absence of dominant polling averages sustain the competitive positioning reflected in current market pricing.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Michelle Dracoulis holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the Derwent Valley mayoral race, closely followed by challengers James Randall and Jess Burns amid a crowded field of other contenders. Recent council actions under Dracoulis, including returning to a projected surplus after budget adjustments and appointing a new CEO to address governance and project delivery, provide the main platform for her re-election bid focused on financial oversight and local infrastructure. Limited polling or public campaign data on voter priorities such as tourism, riverfront development, and service delivery keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from candidate forums, nomination finalization, or any late shifts in local sentiment ahead of the Tasmanian local government elections. The broad field and absence of dominant polling averages sustain the competitive positioning reflected in current market pricing.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Michelle Dracoulis" a 50%, seguito da "James Randall" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" è "Michelle Dracoulis" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "James Randall" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.