**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 1° maggio?
22°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,619 Vol.
$15,619 Vol.
1 mag 2026
16°C o inferiore
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,619 Vol.
$15,619 Vol.
1 mag 2026
16°C o inferiore
$541 Vol.
No
17°C
$532 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,392 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,302 Vol.
No
20°C
$893 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,040 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,473 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$595 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,477 Vol.
No
25°C
$792 Vol.
No
26°C o superiore
$1,582 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,619Data di fine
1 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,619Data di fine
1 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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