Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate typical late-summer conditions with overnight lows near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August minima at 26–27°C on average, while current model consensus shows no strong cold surge or typhoon influence to push readings below 26°C or above 28°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 agosto?
27°C 42%
26°C 23%
28°C 21%
25°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
42%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 23%
28°C 21%
25°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$141 Vol.
1%
24°C
$160 Vol.
3%
25°C
$232 Vol.
16%
26°C
$190 Vol.
23%
27°C
$192 Vol.
42%
28°C
$415 Vol.
21%
29°C
$958 Vol.
7%
30°C
$358 Vol.
1%
31°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate typical late-summer conditions with overnight lows near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August minima at 26–27°C on average, while current model consensus shows no strong cold surge or typhoon influence to push readings below 26°C or above 28°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$4,295Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate typical late-summer conditions with overnight lows near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August minima at 26–27°C on average, while current model consensus shows no strong cold surge or typhoon influence to push readings below 26°C or above 28°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,295Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate typical late-summer conditions with overnight lows near 27–28°C, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August minima at 26–27°C on average, while current model consensus shows no strong cold surge or typhoon influence to push readings below 26°C or above 28°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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