Recent Hong Kong Observatory and global model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–27°C on August 23, with the spread across 25–28°C buckets reflecting high forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and a nearby tropical depression over Beibu Wan that could enhance moisture and suppress radiative cooling. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor the lower outcomes (24–25°C) by allowing greater nocturnal heat loss, while increased thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow supports the higher range (28–29°C) through retained heat and humidity. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide background context but do not override short-term model differences ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 23 agosto?
26°C 32%
25°C 22%
27°C 20%
28°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
25°C 22%
27°C 20%
28°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
21°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
22°C
$72 Vol.
1%
23°C
$258 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$19 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$42 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and global model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–27°C on August 23, with the spread across 25–28°C buckets reflecting high forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and a nearby tropical depression over Beibu Wan that could enhance moisture and suppress radiative cooling. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor the lower outcomes (24–25°C) by allowing greater nocturnal heat loss, while increased thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow supports the higher range (28–29°C) through retained heat and humidity. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide background context but do not override short-term model differences ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$454Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and global model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–27°C on August 23, with the spread across 25–28°C buckets reflecting high forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and a nearby tropical depression over Beibu Wan that could enhance moisture and suppress radiative cooling. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor the lower outcomes (24–25°C) by allowing greater nocturnal heat loss, while increased thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow supports the higher range (28–29°C) through retained heat and humidity. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide background context but do not override short-term model differences ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$454Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and global model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–27°C on August 23, with the spread across 25–28°C buckets reflecting high forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and a nearby tropical depression over Beibu Wan that could enhance moisture and suppress radiative cooling. Clearer skies and lighter winds would favor the lower outcomes (24–25°C) by allowing greater nocturnal heat loss, while increased thunderstorm activity or stronger onshore flow supports the higher range (28–29°C) through retained heat and humidity. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide background context but do not override short-term model differences ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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