Current forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 69°F in Los Angeles on September 25, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions amid a warmer-than-average September pattern where recent lows have held in the mid-to-upper 60s. Elevated probabilities for 78°F or higher or 59°F or below capture tail risks from forecast divergence or measurement differences across stations, while historical averages near 62°F underscore how current atmospheric setup favors the central range. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 settembre?
78°F o superiore 64%
59°F o inferiore 62%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 29%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
59°F o inferiore
62%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
15%
78°F o superiore
64%
78°F o superiore 64%
59°F o inferiore 62%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 29%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
59°F o inferiore
$10 Vol.
62%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
13%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
21%
68-69°F
$92 Vol.
29%
70-71°F
$13 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
20%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
15%
78°F o superiore
$10 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 69°F in Los Angeles on September 25, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions amid a warmer-than-average September pattern where recent lows have held in the mid-to-upper 60s. Elevated probabilities for 78°F or higher or 59°F or below capture tail risks from forecast divergence or measurement differences across stations, while historical averages near 62°F underscore how current atmospheric setup favors the central range. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$175Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 69°F in Los Angeles on September 25, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions amid a warmer-than-average September pattern where recent lows have held in the mid-to-upper 60s. Elevated probabilities for 78°F or higher or 59°F or below capture tail risks from forecast divergence or measurement differences across stations, while historical averages near 62°F underscore how current atmospheric setup favors the central range. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 69°F in Los Angeles on September 25, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions amid a warmer-than-average September pattern where recent lows have held in the mid-to-upper 60s. Elevated probabilities for 78°F or higher or 59°F or below capture tail risks from forecast divergence or measurement differences across stations, while historical averages near 62°F underscore how current atmospheric setup favors the central range. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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