**Current forecast consensus points to a minimum near 22°C on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure with light winds and limited overnight cooling under increasing cloud cover.** Ensemble guidance from major models shows overnight lows holding in the 21–24°C range as a weak disturbance brings scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, preventing strong radiative cooling. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 20°C and elevated odds around 17–19°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized showers. Historical late-August climatology for Milan features typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from an established subtropical ridge that has kept readings 2–4°C above average through late August. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 28 agosto?
20°C 48%
17°C 35%
19°C 35%
18°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
16°C or below
32%
17°C
35%
18°C
34%
19°C
35%
20°C
48%
21°C
24%
22°C
33%
23°C
33%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 48%
17°C 35%
19°C 35%
18°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
35%
18°C
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$0 Vol.
35%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$10 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$32 Vol.
5%
25°C
$32 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$32 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus points to a minimum near 22°C on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure with light winds and limited overnight cooling under increasing cloud cover.**
Ensemble guidance from major models shows overnight lows holding in the 21–24°C range as a weak disturbance brings scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, preventing strong radiative cooling. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 20°C and elevated odds around 17–19°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized showers. Historical late-August climatology for Milan features typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from an established subtropical ridge that has kept readings 2–4°C above average through late August.
New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$106Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus points to a minimum near 22°C on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure with light winds and limited overnight cooling under increasing cloud cover.**
Ensemble guidance from major models shows overnight lows holding in the 21–24°C range as a weak disturbance brings scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, preventing strong radiative cooling. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 20°C and elevated odds around 17–19°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized showers. Historical late-August climatology for Milan features typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from an established subtropical ridge that has kept readings 2–4°C above average through late August.
New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus points to a minimum near 22°C on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure with light winds and limited overnight cooling under increasing cloud cover.** Ensemble guidance from major models shows overnight lows holding in the 21–24°C range as a weak disturbance brings scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, preventing strong radiative cooling. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability on 20°C and elevated odds around 17–19°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized showers. Historical late-August climatology for Milan features typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from an established subtropical ridge that has kept readings 2–4°C above average through late August. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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